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Archive for February, 2008

The suggested grand coalition is a good and indeed a needed ( breather ) short term/mid term solution for Kenya. BUT, i believe the way to save Kenya and indeed the rest of Africa from self destruction is to correct the historical injustices that the people have had to put up with.

But before i get into that, let us consider the good and the evils of this so called Grand Coalition proposal:

The goods:

  1. Things will get back to “normal”, what ever that means. Those with nice jobs get to go to work without fear. Those businesses that have been losing money get a chance to recover. The displaced get to go ( back?) to their normal lives. Those who work kazi ya mkono for a pittance go back to helping their employers take in billions in profit.
  2. Kibaki and Co and the other big thiefs, get back to kazi iendelea. Kimunya, Kirubi et.al get on with turning state corporations into personal assets.

The Evils:

  1. It legitimizes theft. Everybody knows Mr. Kibaki stole the elections. What we are saying is:

    It is Ok to steal, as long as you have the big guns to keep the loot you have stolen. After we legitimize this behavior, why would any robber in Kenya be penalised?

  2. Losers are being rewarded. Mr. Mwai lost the election, but he gets to stay on ( Tutaka hapa hapa, Mtaka huko huko has come to pass )
  3. Can it really last 5 years? I doubt. Assuming the ODM ministers are not thiefs as their PNU counterparts, and they get to share ministerial positions with PNU, what do you expect? Yeah, the ODM ministers will certainly become thiefs too.

    Bad company corrupts good character. ( It is never the other way round ).

    Or, assuming an ODM minister remains as clean as a whistle, how will the ministry biz proceed without squabbles?

  4. What about the need for an Opposition? ( Perhaps it does not really matter. There was an opposition since 2002 but theft of national goods went on without any problems )

Now, these are the problems i see coming up:

  • Kibaki will not honor this deal. He has consistently not honored any agreement (except perhaps that which binds him to the Kikuyu agreement ). You can not teach an old dog new tricks, whether you hold it by the balls or not.
  • How executive can a PM or CEO be if he has not fire power over his officers? What if it is determined that Michuki has benefited illegally (as he will if he has not already ) from road construction deals and needs to be fired, will Kibaki fire him?
  • With their characteristic arrogance, PNU-type people in position will work day and night to frustrate the system.
  • Will PSs appointments be shared? How about judicial ones? Power goes all the way to the assistant chiefs. Will all these be shared?
  • There is now no room to correct wrongs done since 1963 or earlier ( and these are the real cause of the problems Kenya now faces)

Now to the real problem. The problem with Kenya, (and Africa ) is the issue of many nations under one nation. This is the problem that needs to be solved. The nation Kenya, as we all know, is a patchwork of many unlike pieces into one unwholesome union. It was forced upon us.; Forcing the Kikuyu and the Luo to share a house . Forcing the demur Kalenjin to live next door to an aggressive Kikuyu.

We all know, that Africa has resources galore. But the main cause of Africa’s plight is corruption. And the corruption cannot be dealt with firmly, since the beneficiaries, when necessary, will pit one group against another, as they are busy eating from the national cookie jar. That is why the Kikuyu will never see any wrong with all the corruption and stealing that has taken place under Mr. Kibaki’s watch. (Strange though, that the Kalenjin somehow got fed up with Mr. Moi, despite the fact that they supported him while he was in power).

How do you solve the many nations problem? You could:

(i) Suppress the dividers, e.g. language, the Tanzania way. But this is only temporary. Just wait until Tanzania get very capitalistic and resources start getting scarce. it will all unravel. So, go all the way, and suppress all known dividers (language, cultural identities, practices, local affiliations etc) while enhancing the uniting factors( langauge, etc).

(ii)Have a federal system of government. But wait, Nigeria has one, and corruption still happens with impunity.

(ii) Redraw the boundaries to reflect the many nations with Kenya. Only this will work. Then, if the Kikuyu prefer to enhance corruption and theft, as a cultural “must have”, and to allow the Mungiki to police their country, there would be nothing wrong with that. And if the Luo prefer to enhance frivolous activities, laziness and promote outdated cultural practices despite their fatal consequences, who cares, they can do whatever they wish within their borders. And if the Kalenjin prefer to have a country with no outsiders welcomed, so be it.

BTW, many people i talk to, when i push this idea of dividing the country up have two main concerns

(1) Their main concern is “What about Nairobi?” Well, since they care so much for Nairobi, just Hong Kong it? Let Nairobi remain a multicultural city state. After 99 years, give it back to the Maasai.

(2) The second concern is “They tiny nations can not survive alone” . Really? Why not? Now, if for sure they cannot make it alone, then they just need to talk to their neighbor country and form a union, and have agreements how to run the union.

Why, Oh, Kenya, do you not learn from history? A house divided against itself can not stand.

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